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An Encouraging State Employment Report

One should always be cautious about placing too much emphasis on data for a single month, but the state employment report for August (released this morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) includes several encouraging signs for Arkansas.  Among the highlights of the report:

  • The unemployment rate in Arkansas fell by three-tenths of a percent to 7.1%.  The Arkansas unemployment rate is now 2.6 percentage points lower than the national average.  Arkansas was one of only 16 states to experience an unemployment rate decline.
  • Underlying the decline in the unemployment rate was a decrease in the number of people unemployed.  In July, Arkansas unemployment rolls topped 100,000 for the first time.  The August report shows that  number falling to 96.5 thousand.
  • Nonfarm payroll employment rose slightly in August.  Arkansas was one of only 8 states to experience an increase.  Moreover, the data for July were revised upward to show a net gain for that month as well.  (Arkansas was one of only 3 states to experience employment gains in both July and August).
  • Employment in goods producing sectors remains weak, but some of the key service-providing industries continue to show reslience.  For July and August, net job gains were recorded in Professional and Business Services, Education and Health Services, Other Services, and Government. 
  • The payroll employment data confirm a trend observed in a previous post:  After declining by 26.4 thousand between October 2008 and March 2009, the employment situation in Arkansas is stablizing.  Since March, employment has been approximately flat, with a net increase of 600 jobs through August.

– Michael Pakko

 arkempaug

Arkansas employment stabilizing

The latest payroll employment data for Arkansas (July 2009) indicate that the severe job losses we witnessed in late 2008 and early 2009 have subsided.  From October 2008 through March 2009, Arkansas suffered a net decline of more than 26 thousand jobs.  From March through July, the net loss has totaled only about 400 jobs.

Job losses are never good news, but the fact that we are no longer seeing the steep declines that we did during the most severe phase of the recession suggests that the worst might be over.  Employment tends to be a lagging indicator, so when we see job growth moving in a positive direction it will be a very good sign. 

Arkansas Nonfarm Payroll Employment